DEBATE: Is Manila’s case at The Hague ‘futile’?

01.07.2016
Foreign Affairs Security

Even if the case is decided in Manila’s favor, Publiko, among others, expects to see little in terms of concrete results from the case before the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague.

Even if the case is decided in Manila’s favor, Publiko, among others, expects to see little in terms of concrete results from the case before the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague. Surely, it will not resolve the dispute, which involves issues far more complex and stakeholders far more numerous than the thin slice represented in this case. The case does not deal with sovereignty, for one thing, though the Philippine media (and the comments of certain of our justices) often lead Filipinos to think otherwise. Moreover, the decision is unenforceable, and has no entity to police compliance.  

What then can our case hope to achieve? Some diplomats believe that it will do nothing but provoke China and make a fair solution with the Philippines even less likely than it was before. Meanwhile, Interakyson’s article reports that, “to many diplomats, the case is key to getting China to accept international legal norms over the waterway, through which $5 trillion in ship-borne trade passes each year.” 

Read the full article below then let us know what you think in our comments section below. Is Manila’s case at The Hague ‘futile’? What can it hope to achieve? 

“China’s snub of South China Sea case might cost it dearly—experts,” Interakyson 

http://www.interaksyon.com/article/120944/chinas-snub-of-south-china-sea-case-might-cost-it-dearly---experts 

For clarification on what the recent decision by the Tribunal that it holds jurisdiction over the case means, read CNN Philippines’s short article below. 

“Analyst: PH not out of the woods in arbitration case,” CNN Philippines

http://cnnphilippines.com/news/2015/10/30/analyst-philippines-not-out-of-the-woods-arbitration-case.html

 

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